This is an archived sample outlook. Members get a fresh 2-week outlook every week for every state they've purchased — this week's calls plus an early read on next week.
| State | Mississippi |
|---|---|
| Report Period | August 23 – September 7, 2026 (2-week outlook) |
| Week 1 Moon Phase | Waxing Gibbous → Full Moon (Aug 27) |
| Week 2 Moon Phase | Waning Gibbous → Last Quarter (Sep 3) → Waning Crescent (Sep 7) |
| Season Stage | Summer pattern — deep structure, dawn/dusk bite |
| Regions Covered | North Mississippi — Sardis, Enid, Grenada & Arkabutla; Central Mississippi; Mississippi Delta & Southwest |
Data not available this run: no water-temperature trend was supplied for any region in either week, and no generation/release schedules were supplied for the current-driven Corps lakes (Sardis, Enid, Grenada, Arkabutla, Okatibbee). No per-lake spawn stage or temperature data was provided either — depth calls below fall back to each lake's general depth range under the statewide summer pattern, since none of these lakes define a dedicated summer depth entry. Check Corps of Engineers daily pool and release readings before you launch; on these flood-control lakes that number matters as much as the weather call.
Week 1 — This Week High — inside the reliable forecast window
This report generates Sunday evening, Aug 23 — Sunday's dawn and daytime windows have already elapsed, so the callable week starts Monday.
North Mississippi — Sardis, Enid, Grenada, Arkabutla & Moon Lake
Best Windows
- Wed Aug 26, 5:45–9:00 AM — Pressure is falling ahead of the front that crosses this region Wednesday, and the moon is one day off full, so the pre-frontal feed should be on before the wind builds to 13 mph S.
- Thu Aug 27, 6:00–9:00 AM — Bottoming pressure behind the front, full moon day with moonset sitting on daybreak, and only 9 mph SSE — the best combination of factors anywhere in the state this week.
- Thu Aug 27, 6:45–8:15 PM — Same bottoming pressure holding into evening with moonrise near sunset; a workable second shift if you can't make the morning.
Days to Avoid
- Wed Aug 26, midday through evening — Front is actively crossing; expect the wind shift and the dead period that comes with passage itself, on top of 13 mph S chop.
- Fri Aug 28, all day — Bluebird day. Pressure rises hard behind the front and skies clear; plan on 12–24 hours of lockjaw.
- Sat Aug 29, daylight hours — Dead-flat pressure with no frontal or moon driver, and a full moon two nights past means fish have been feeding overnight and won't be hungry at daybreak.
Weather outlook & lake-by-lake notes
Weather Outlook
Fronts entering Mississippi hit this region first — treat these dates as day 0 for the rest of the state. Pressure holds stable Sunday through Tuesday with light N-to-SW wind at 8–10 mph, then falls Wednesday as the front approaches, bottoms Thursday, and rises Friday. Full moon lands Thursday Aug 27, right on the bottoming-pressure day, which is why Thursday morning is the strongest call in this report. No water-temperature trend was provided for this region, so read the depth calls below as standard summer positioning rather than a temperature-driven adjustment. No Corps release schedule was provided for the four flood-control lakes either — pool level and current are as important as the weather here, so verify both before committing to a lake.
Lake-by-Lake Notes
- Grenada Lake — The best bet for the Wednesday/Thursday pre- and post-frontal windows: work old roadbeds and creek channel bends under standing timber in the 8–20 ft general range (no summer-specific depth band is defined for this lake), and stay on the deeper side of that until the sun is off the water.
- Sardis Lake — Timber and brush along creek channel drops in the 10–20 ft general range; the 6–12 ft flats are only worth a look at the Thursday dawn and dusk edges, and only if current pool level actually has water on them.
- Enid Lake — Same system, same pool caveat as Sardis; 8–18 ft brush and channel timber, and it's the pick if you want numbers of eating-size fish out of the Thursday bottoming-pressure window.
- Arkabutla Lake — Smallest and shallowest of the four at 8–16 ft, so it will react to Wednesday's pressure fall faster and harder than Grenada or Sardis — get on it early Wednesday rather than waiting.
- Moon Lake — Shallow, stained oxbow at 6–15 ft; cypress and weed edges fish better on the low-light Thursday windows than at midday, and it will also turn off fastest on Friday's bluebird bounce.
Central Mississippi — Ross Barnett & Okatibbee
Best Windows
- Wed Aug 26, 6:00–9:00 AM — Pressure is bottoming and wind is only 5 mph WSW with a near-full moon — the calmest, best-timed morning of the week in this region.
- Thu Aug 27, 6:45–8:15 PM — Full moon with moonrise near sunset; pressure has gone flat by Thursday, so the evening low-light window is doing most of the work here.
- Tue Aug 25, 6:00–8:30 AM — Stable pressure and 7 mph NW, no moon or frontal edge, but calm enough to fish deep structure cleanly if midweek is out for you.
Days to Avoid
- Fri Aug 28, all day — Rising pressure with clearing skies: the textbook bluebird setup, and the clearest skip on the Central calendar.
- Mon Aug 24, midday — Flat pressure and 12 mph WNW chop with nothing driving a feed; not worth burning a day on.
- Wed Aug 26, afternoon — Conditional: no frontal passage time was provided for this region, but the one-day lag behind North Mississippi puts the front here late Wednesday into Thursday; if you see the wind shift, the afternoon is done.
Weather outlook & lake-by-lake notes
Weather Outlook
The single biggest gap this week: no frontal passage time was supplied for Central Mississippi. The pressure trace fills that in indirectly — stable Sunday through Tuesday, bottoming Wednesday, flat Thursday, rising Friday — which is consistent with the front arriving late Wednesday into Thursday, roughly a day behind North Mississippi per this region's normal lag. Treat that arrival time as inferred, not forecast. Winds stay light all week except 12 mph WNW Monday and 12 mph S Thursday. No water-temperature trend and no Okatibbee release schedule were provided.
Lake-by-Lake Notes
- Ross Barnett Reservoir — Fish the 8–18 ft general range (no summer-specific band defined) on timber flats and brush off the main channel; Wednesday's calm 5 mph morning is a weekday, which also gets you around the weekend boat traffic that kills this lake.
- Okatibbee Lake — Smaller and shallower at 8–16 ft, so it should respond to Wednesday's pressure bottom sooner than Barnett; creek channel structure is the reliable pattern, but with no Corps release data supplied, check flow before you count on current positioning the fish.
Mississippi Delta & Southwest — Eagle Lake & Lake Washington
Best Windows
- Wed Aug 26, 6:00–9:30 AM — Falling pressure ahead of Wednesday's front with a manageable 9 mph SSW and the moon a day off full; get out early because this region can run a few hours ahead of Central on frontal timing.
- Thu Aug 27, 6:00–9:00 AM — Bottoming pressure on full moon day; 12 mph SSW is enough to put a working ripple on stained oxbow water without blowing you off the timber.
- Tue Aug 25, 6:45–8:15 PM — Calmest evening of the week at 7 mph SSE, but pressure is flat and the moon is still building — a fill-in, not a reason to take a day off.
Days to Avoid
- Wed Aug 26, afternoon into evening — Front crossing; the wind shift and passage dead period land squarely in this window.
- Fri Aug 28, all day — Bluebird day behind the front. Shallow stained oxbows clear and heat fast under a rising-pressure sky, and these two lakes shut off harder than deeper reservoirs do.
- Mon Aug 24, all day — Flat pressure paired with 13 mph E wind; an east wind on dead-flat pressure is the least productive combination on this week's board.
Weather outlook & lake-by-lake notes
Weather Outlook
Front arrives around Wednesday, roughly in line with Central Mississippi but potentially a few hours earlier given the westward position toward the river. Pressure is stable Sunday through Tuesday, falls Wednesday, bottoms Thursday on the full moon, and rises Friday. This is the windiest of the three regions this week — 11–13 mph on Sunday, Monday, Thursday and Saturday — but nothing crosses the 15 mph skip threshold, and the waxing-to-full moon keeps the lunar side strong. No water-temperature trend was provided; both lakes here are shallow oxbows that track air temperature closely, so expect firmly summer positioning.
Lake-by-Lake Notes
- Eagle Lake — Shallowest of the pair at 6–14 ft general (no summer band defined), so it swings fastest with Wednesday's pressure fall and is the better Wednesday-morning call; cypress and standing timber on the deeper side of that range.
- Lake Washington — Deeper in spots than a typical oxbow at 6–15 ft, which makes it the steadier Thursday option once pressure bottoms out — work the cypress lines and timber edges adjacent to the deepest water you can find.
Week 2 — Next Week Lower — early outlook, expect this to shift
This is an early look, not a schedule. Forecast reliability drops sharply past about seven days, so the calls below are directional — which part of the week to lean toward, which part to write off — rather than hour-specific. Check next week's report for the confirmed windows. Note also that no forecast data at all was supplied for Sun Sep 6 or Mon Sep 7 in any region; those two days are unassessed.
North Mississippi — Sardis, Enid, Grenada, Arkabutla & Moon Lake
Best Windows
- Around Wed Sep 2, low light — The only bottoming-pressure day on the board next week, though the moon is past full and heading toward last quarter, so it lacks Week 1's lunar support.
- Mon Aug 31 – Tue Sep 1, mornings — Pressure settles out after Sunday's post-frontal spike and wind drops to 6–10 mph; a recovery bite, not a peak one.
Days to Avoid
- Sun Aug 30 — Front is expected to cross around Sunday with pressure already rising and 13 mph NNE behind it: bluebird conditions, and the clearest skip of the week.
- Fri Sep 4 – Sat Sep 5 — Rising pressure both days with a thinning waning-crescent moon and 9–12 mph SW-to-NNW wind; late week looks like the weak half.
Weather outlook & lake-by-lake notes
Weather Outlook
The shape of next week is front around Sunday, flat through the front half, one bottoming-pressure day midweek, then rising pressure to close. That shape is more reliable than the exact days attached to it — a 24-hour slip in the Sunday front would move everything. Moon strength declines all week from waning gibbous through last quarter on Sep 3, so the lunar contribution that made Week 1's Thursday so strong is simply not there. No water-temperature trend was supplied, and no Corps generation or release schedule was supplied for the flood-control lakes — those schedules are typically not published this far out, so do not assume Week 1's conditions carry over.
Lake-by-Lake Notes
- Grenada Lake — Still the highest-percentage lake in the group for the midweek pressure dip; roadbeds and channel timber in the 8–20 ft general range.
- Sardis Lake — 10–20 ft general range on channel drops; with no release data available, pool level is the variable most likely to change the call between now and next week.
- Enid Lake — 8–18 ft brush and timber; expect it to fish similarly to Sardis under the same flat-then-dipping pressure pattern.
- Arkabutla Lake — Shallowest at 8–16 ft, so it will feel Sunday's post-frontal spike hardest and recover soonest — the first of the four worth trying Monday.
- Moon Lake — Shallow stained oxbow, 6–15 ft; most sensitive in the group to the Sunday bluebird effect and the least likely to be worth a Sunday trip.
Central Mississippi — Ross Barnett & Okatibbee
Best Windows
- Around Wed Sep 2, low light — Bottoming pressure with the lightest winds in the region at 8 mph SSW; the best-looking day next week, subject to the front's timing holding.
- Tue Sep 1, morning — Stable pressure and 5 mph SSW; calm enough to fish deep structure well even without a pressure or moon edge.
Days to Avoid
- Sun Aug 30 — Front around Sunday with pressure already rising behind it; treat as a bluebird skip pending next week's update.
- Fri Sep 4 — Rising pressure with a waning crescent moon and no frontal edge to work with; the weakest of the assessed days here.
Weather outlook & lake-by-lake notes
Weather Outlook
Unlike Week 1, a frontal passage time was actually supplied for this region next week — around Sunday, in line with the rest of the state rather than lagging a day. That is worth a note of caution: a same-day arrival across all three regions is unusual given Central's normal one-day lag, and it is the kind of detail most likely to be revised as the week gets closer. Winds are light all week at 5–9 mph until 11 mph NW on Saturday. No water-temperature trend and no Okatibbee release schedule were provided.
Lake-by-Lake Notes
- Ross Barnett Reservoir — 8–18 ft general range on timber flats and channel brush; the midweek window is a weekday again, which keeps you clear of this lake's weekend traffic.
- Okatibbee Lake — 8–16 ft creek channel structure; shallower and quicker to react than Barnett, so it should turn on a half-step earlier around the midweek pressure dip.
Mississippi Delta & Southwest — Eagle Lake & Lake Washington
Best Windows
- Around Wed Sep 2, low light — Bottoming pressure with 11 mph SSW; the one genuine opportunity in an otherwise flat, breezy week.
- Mon Aug 31, morning — Lightest wind of the week at 8 mph NE with pressure settling after the Sunday front; modest, but the calmest water you're likely to get.
Days to Avoid
- Sun Aug 30 — Post-frontal rising pressure plus 13 mph NE; bluebird conditions on shallow stained oxbows are as bad as it gets.
- Thu Sep 3 — 15 mph SSW on a last-quarter moon with flat pressure — weak moon and high wind together, a skip even though the pressure trace looks neutral.
- Sat Sep 5 — Rising pressure, 13 mph NW and a waning crescent; nothing here worth a trip.
Weather outlook & lake-by-lake notes
Weather Outlook
This is the windiest region next week and the one with the narrowest opening — a Sunday front, rising pressure, then a single midweek pressure bottom before pressure climbs again Friday and Saturday. Thursday's 15 mph SSW on a last-quarter moon triggers the weak-moon-plus-wind skip. Everything above is provisional: a Sunday frontal arrival this far out can move a day in either direction, which would shift both the bluebird day and the midweek dip. No water-temperature trend was provided for either lake.
Lake-by-Lake Notes
- Eagle Lake — 6–14 ft general range in cypress and timber; shallow enough that it will be the first to feel the midweek dip and the first ruined by Thursday's wind.
- Lake Washington — 6–15 ft with deeper pockets, making it the more wind-tolerant of the two — the better choice if you get pushed off Eagle Lake by the SSW breeze.
Bottom Line
If you get one day out of these two weeks, take Thursday, August 27 and fish North Mississippi at first light — Grenada or Sardis on channel timber and roadbeds. That morning stacks bottoming pressure behind Wednesday's front, the full moon with moonset landing near daybreak, and only 9 mph SSE wind; nothing else in the sixteen-day span puts that many factors together. Wednesday morning ahead of the front is the near-equal backup, and it's the better call if you're fishing the Delta, where the front may arrive a few hours earlier than in Central Mississippi. The day to stay home is Friday, August 28 — a hard-rising-pressure bluebird day in all three regions at once, and the shallow stained oxbows at Eagle Lake, Lake Washington and Moon Lake will be the worst of it. Remember the lag: North Mississippi gets the front Wednesday, Central and the Delta a day behind (Central's timing was not supplied and is inferred), so the good and bad days slide accordingly as you move south. Week 1 is clearly the stronger of the two — it has both a front and a full moon working together, while Week 2 offers one midweek pressure dip with a fading moon and a likely bluebird Sunday to open it. Fish this week hard; treat next week as a backup plan and re-check it in seven days.